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Prediction Border Conditions

Thomas Barnett is getting bombarded with the more evidence crowd: I'm still not convinced! Have you taken into account inflation and the Hubbert's Curve effect on crude oil prices in your calculations? Because if you could just get those numbers...
Posted in Flit(tm) on January 26, 2005 09:31 PM

Space Elevator Progress Note

Space elevators have been a recurring feature on this blog because it's the sort of disruptive technology that can upset an awful lot of pessimistic predictions about the future. If you can knock two zeroes off the cost of lifting...
Posted in Flit(tm) on June 30, 2004 10:06 PM

Future Tech Library

This whole energy innovation thread that Steven Den Beste has written about reminds me of a very basic principle in innovation. There are two kinds of innovation, incremental and disruptive (revolutionary). Incremental advances are the most common. You take your...
Posted in Flit(tm) on June 7, 2004 04:13 PM

The Problem of Horizontal Thinkers

Two of my favorite thinkers are Steven Den Beste and Thomas PM Barnett. They both regularly help stretch my mind and provide lots of provocative, useful thoughts that have wide implications. They are what I like to call horizontal thinkers....
Posted in Flit(tm) on June 4, 2004 07:22 AM

Not Stopping Space Travel

Lileks has a great bleat today. As is often the case, it's on a bunch of subjects from being baited to loneliness but a great deal of it (most of it, in fact) is on the space program and what...
Posted in Flit(tm) on January 15, 2004 10:26 AM

What to Do With Cheap Lift

I've discussed space elevators in the past but now Samizdata is opening up a somewhat different question, what do you do when you can go there cheaply. The comments section has all sorts of examples, many of which have previously...
Posted in Flit(tm) on December 11, 2003 04:34 PM

Carbon Nanotube Breakthrough

Single Walled Carbon Nanotubes are one of those building block kind of disruptive inventions. They can be used in so many ways and they are so much of an improvement over current materials that commercial applications will change a great...
Posted in Flit(tm) on December 9, 2003 08:08 PM

Elevator Follies

Steven Den Beste has a remarkable mind but sometimes he goofs. His recent article on space elevators is one such instance. First of all, kevlar just doesn't cut it as a space elevator material and hasn't been seriously considered in...
Posted in Flit(tm) on October 30, 2003 06:49 PM

Why we really need to get off oil

Energy pricing (like most other pricing) is an exercise in change at the margin (Jude Wanniski's The Way the World Works is an eye opener). You don't have to change over an entire infrastructure to get radical change in the...
Posted in Flit(tm) on July 26, 2003 02:35 AM
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